The Next Big Thing
Posts about next generation technologies and their effect on business.

eVDI – A more flexible approach to engineering computing

I’ve interacted with visualized desktop solutions since the mid-90s but only recently saw an update to what’s happening with engineering Virtualized Desktop Infrastructure (eVDI). The following video shows a bit about how it can be more flexible and faster than the traditional approach.

 

 

There is an upcoming webinar titled: Engineering in the Cloud: Faster, Better, More Secure

that will show how recent advances in supporting and engineering class virtualized environment can now include:

Capabilities that just a short time ago everyone knew had to be delivered locally and would never be accessed from mobile devices like laptops. 

Grading my predictions for 2013

grading predictions.pngAt the end of every year that I’ve been making annual predictions, I grade my predications made in the previous December

(200620072008200920102011, 2012). It's time to look at 2013. 2013 has been the start of a turnaround for HP. We’re not out of it all yet, but we’re definitely making progress. In a way, the same thing could be said about the economy and the industry as a whole.

 

I said that 2013 would be a year of expectation -- changing the very foundation of how IT is judged. HP’s efforts around the new style of IT attests to that and many of the trends I talked about in 2012 (and earlier) began to generate business value.

 

I’ll grade myself with the following scale again this year:

A: Big changes during the year that are having wide effect.

B: Notable progress through the year and isolated areas of significant impact.

C: Progress with some impact

D: Little progress or impact – but work still taking place

F: No progress or the concept abandoned in any commercial sense.

 

Grade

Prediction

Rational

A

Organizations will have a higher expectations of security based on what everyone has experienced and learned. The battle over Internet censorship and control will reach new heights in 2013.

Thanks to the Snowden issue, this one definitely came out big, although in a way none of us may have expected.

C

Software defined networks will make communications as virtualized and flexible as the computing infrastructure. This versatility will become an expectation.

I facilitated a discussion on SDN back in September and throughout our talk it was clear that progress has been made, but we’re still only scratching the surface.

A

IT organizations will expand their definition of “customer” and their analytics to include suppliers, partners, consumers and anything/one that can make a difference

Although Big Data was not new in 2013, it definitely started to penetrate even the most slow to adopt organization’s thinking. There is definitely progress being made, although I still wonder about the bias issue.

B

We can expect to see bigger data and even bigger storage, with copious amounts of information coming from more sensors in more places. Organizations will no longer be satisfied with using only 3-5% of the data available. Beyond there being more data, the information collected will be of a wider variety (including video, sound…) so transforming the information from one format to another and back will be increasingly important.

This is a case of definite progress being made but I am not sure organizations are yet using double digit percentages of the information available to them.

B

The whole concept of ‘In Memory’ computing will be up for a shift in expectations for where and how it is used.

SAP Hana (probably the most notable of the large commercial applications in this space) is now being looked at seriously for a wide range of database applications. It is not too widespread but HP and SAP are definitely making inroads.

D

Widespread acceptance of new and improved NFC capabilities for payment and identity. The Internet of Things (IoT) will become just the Internet. Individuals will be able to add IoT capabilities independent of the original manufacturer, if desired. Although enterprises may still be crawling their way to the IoT, consumers will embrace IoT in 2013.

Although the Internet of Things is real, it has not made the progress I expected it to make in 2013. The consumer space has not really moved all that much more quickly than the Enterprise space. Sure there are devices and applications, but are they really having the impact they should.

D

The availability of different disruptive display technologies in 2013 to shift our thinking about where and when a display is needed (or even possible).

Although there are some new interface approaches and techniques, displays have not really shifted significantly in 2013.

D

One of the other core shifts in expectation will be around simplicity and the use of automation to focus attention and automate more business processes. The concept of human augmentation of automation will be significantly less foreign at the end of 2013 than it is today.

This is another case where there has been some progress, but not nearly as much as I’d hoped. Human augmented automation is about as foreign to strategic planning now as it was in 2012.

C

Enterprises will begin to address the issue that most of the apps in production can’t really unleash the power of the cloud. 2013 should see new tools and techniques to address this potential.

Application portfolio management is definitely part of a move to greater value in IT, but I’d say the adoption is only slightly more than 2012.

C

IT will begin to see ways to virtualize the mobile experience in new, secure and innovative ways.

Once again there has been progress, but it has primarily been incremental in nature. No radically new devices or approaches have come on the scene, although HP has services that understand virtualization in the mobile space, they are just not yet in demand.

B

The skills within the organization will be a constraint on value generation. Gamification, as an example, is a skill that will be recognized and move hand-in-hand with strategic change.

I do believe that gamification and its understanding by organizations shifted significantly in 2013, but that might just be because I kept talking with people about it.

C

Using the contextual information available from big data and the need for attention engineering, individuals and corporations will have greater expectation on how information is delivered to them.

Although to most businesses the expectations on information delivery is changing, I don’t think it has made significant change from the approach used in 2012.

B

There will also be a shift in how products are personalized as 3D printing moves out of limited use and becomes significantly more mainstream with some parts of the world having 3D printing capabilities as a local service. 

2013 was a good year for 3D printing. Most people have heard about it, even if they have not held something that has been through a 3D printing process. Commercial entities have begun to embrace the possibilities.

D

Implementation of IPV6 is going to be a focus in 2013.

Now there are those who are pushing back and saying they may never need to go to IPV6, the workaround are good enough.

D

Realization that automation is the new off-shore, specifically in development

I don’t believe this moved much in 2013. Very few organizations use significant automation techniques in the development space.

 

Based on these scores, my predictions for 2013 were not too conservative. My personal goal is to get close to a C+. If I get too high a grade, I am not trying to stretch my thinking (or yours for that matter) enough.

 

My view is the same as when I finished up my post in 2011:

 

“Having said all that, it is a great time to be in IT. Most of our concerns are currently driven by an overabundance of capabilities that most organizations have not tapped into effectively. Those who can have the vision will be in for quite a ride this year as they look to do more with more.”

 

I should have my predictions for 2014 out by the middle of December.

Engineering business?

MB900386081.JPGOne of the things I do when I work out is catch up on podcasts. I only listen to 5-6 a week but one of them is usually from the IEEE. This week they had one on Smart Bridges. Earlier, I’d done a post on the overlap of technologies across industries as big data and other techniques are applied and this seemed like a perfect example.

 

The Smart Bridges podcast made me wonder about the stress analysis that can be done in businesses today. We have a great deal of measurement systems in place, but can we use their information to greater advantage.

 

Many industries have seasonality that can put them under stress on a regular basis (e.g., Retail has the Holiday season) as well as scenarios they know they need to prepare for (e.g., Hospitals dealing with a crisis). Can we predict when they are likely to break? Are there efforts taking place in the civil engineering space that we should be applying to IT and business?

 

I view this as an area where the Enterprise Architecture profession and other parts of Service Science will likely expand in the coming years.

How long until we’re all part of the Internet of Cars?

robots and cars.pngThe July issue of MIT Technology Review had an article stating The Internet of Cars Is Approaching a Crossroads.

 

“Officials from the U.S. Department of Transportation in Washington, DC, will see the technology in action, in a demonstration organized by experts from the University of Michigan’s Transportation Research Institute and various communications equipment and car manufacturers.”

 

There are a number of efforts in this space including the Car2Car Communications Consortium looking for what to communicate and the best way to do so.

 

Recently the largest ever real-world vehicle-to-vehicle experiment—involving 2,800 vehicles has been under way in Ann Arbor, Michigan. It involves a wide variety of types of vehicles and drivers.

 

“The main purpose of the exercise is to record data to determine how effectively information is relayed between vehicles. But some participating drivers also receive dashboard alerts, offering a glimpse of how the technology may eventually work. These participants are shown a warning if, for example, another driver several cars ahead (and out of view) applies the brakes suddenly, or if their onboard computer notices another car approaching an intersection ahead at a speed that could cause a collision.”

 

This effort focuses on an area that I’ve mentioned before Attention Engineering and actionable information. There is definitely a need to present information into the driving process in a way that a non-technical user can interpret and change their behavior.

 

I see the potential for all kinds of interesting applications to assist drivers in addressing areas of concern and techniques beyond the current beeps and bells currently applied. Of course most of them need some way to customize them as well.

 

I purchased a car earlier this year and every time I pull the car out of the garage warnings go off with my car "thinking" that my storage shelf is somehow going to collide with the side of the car. These well understood situations can be identified, understood and avoided to minimize false alarms with the sensors that are in the cars today. Ensuring that the driver’s attention is only drawn to situations where it is needed may be as important as being able to identify the real situation. 

Systems Engineering Body of Knowledge

knowledge.pngOn Friday, April 26, SEBoK version 1.1 was released at www.sebokwiki.org.  This is the first minor update of the SEBoK and the first release under a new governance structure.

 

There are 7 parts to the document covering Systems engineering  -- an interdisciplinary approach and means to enable the realization of successful systems.

 

Many of the universities in the Dallas area have been increasing the number of courses and degrees focused on Systems Engineering (for example: UTD, SMU). Even though systems engineering concepts have been around for decades, it seems to be undergoing a significant resurgence.

Tags: Engineering
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About the Author(s)
  • Steve Simske is an HP Fellow and Director in the Printing and Content Delivery Lab in Hewlett-Packard Labs, and is the Director and Chief Technologist for the HP Labs Security Printing and Imaging program.
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